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Unsere monatliche Analyse der Finanzmärkte wird nur in englischer Sprache veröffentlicht. Wir bitten Sie um Verständnis.
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Click here to download the full report : RFP Investment Committee May 2012The purpose of this report is to present you with an opinion which is as clear as possible about the present situation on the financial markets. The information presented in this report is provided to you for information purposes only and is not to be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Information and opinions presented in this report have been obtained or derived from sources believed by RFP to be reliable, but RFP makes no representation as to their accuracy or completeness. RFP accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material presented in this report.
| | Last Quote (close 15/05/12)
| Our opinion
| | Stocks | | | | S&P500 (USA) | 1,330.66 | SELL | | Eurostoxx 50 (Europe) | 2,178.67 | SELL | | Nikkei 225 (Japan) | 8,900.74 | SELL | | Bovespa (Brazil) | 56,237.97 | SELL | | BSE Sensex (India) | 16,328.25 | SELL | | CSI 300 (China) | 2,617.37 | SELL | ASX 200 (Australia)
| 4,266.28 | SELL | | | | | | Bonds | | | Sovereign - Inv. Grade
| | SELL | Corporate - Inv. Grade
| | BUY | High Yield
| | SELL | | | | | Money Market
| | | | EUR | | SELL | USD
| | BUY | | | | | | Oil | 94.55 | SELL | | Gold | 1,540.00 | SELL |
Summary: After the elections, Greece failed to form a new government. As the country is facing a deep recession with austerity measures, the Greek will have to vote again next month. More and more European leaders are talking about a possible exit of the country from the Eurozone, which, to us, would not be the right solution, leading Greece in a worst nightmare than the one it is into now. Spain is attacked again by speculators, while several European economies are currently in recession. Emerging markets are also affected, as growth is disappointing in China, India and Brazil. As a result, the nervousness of international investors rose last month and stock markets tumbled nearly everywhere. Meanwhile, the U.S continue to grow thanks to the monetary policy of the FED but how long will it last? Ultimately, the global slow-down should affect the U.S., all the more as the FED does not seem quite sure to make a third round of quantitative easing this summer. Maybe the famous quote “sell in May and go away” has never been more applicable than in 2012.
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